COVID-19 Status in the United States

Current Status of Infection

70 Days

US Infection Doubling Period

The US now has well over 100,000 deaths, and more COVID-19 infections and deaths than any other country.

However - infection is now spreading much more slowly than before. At its peak, our infection count doubled in fewer than 3 days.

We may be winning in the worst way possible, but we’re starting to win the right way, too. Daily infection increase data is now visible in the graph, and the increase is much more linear now.

Details about this data

Numbers are the infection counts in the US and Italy, and a projected infection account based on the previous day.

The lag count indicates how many days prior Italy had a similar infection count as the US. In other words, in that many days the US should expect a similar number of infections as Italy is experiencing today.

Infection projection based on rate of 25% increase per day, the average increase in Italy by day from 29 Feb 2020 (888 cases) through 15 Mar 2020. Projection data between 8 and 12 Apr use a 10% increase per day, and data for 13 Apr and beyond will use a 5% increase per day. Projection data beyond 30 April will use only a 2% increase per day. Data beyond 28 May uses a 1% increase per day. This reflects a success in slowing the spread of Coronavirus.

Data sourced from the WHO’s COVID-19 situation reports. The US numbers generally do not update over the weekend, causing the flat line around weekends. Additionally, on 18 Mar 2020 the reporting period changed, providing a data discontinuity. The WHO reported US cases on 9 May incorrectly, and corrected their data with 10 May’s update.

The situation report on 27 Mar 2020 provided surprisingly low numbers for United States infections. The infection increase rate, which had been above 20%, dropped to 7.5% for that date. This jump seems like a problem with the data, but time will tell.

Indeed - the data for 28 Mar 2020 shows an expected large increase in cases. Still, the US infection rate seems to have slowed slightly.

Data download.

Common Screening Questions

The CDC recommends: "Call your doctor: If you think you have been exposed to COVID-19 and develop a fever and symptoms, such as cough or difficulty breathing, call your healthcare provider for medical advice."
The following questionnaire summarizes advice from the CDC and Reid Health. It does not provide advice in itself.

Do you have emergency warning signs for COVID-19, like:

  • Difficulty breathing
  • Persistent pain or pressure in the chest
  • New confusion, or inability to arouse
  • Bluish lips or face

 

YES CDC Recommends: Get medical attention immediately!
NO

Have you had contact with anyone with confirmed COVID-19 in the last 14 days?

OR

Do you think you’ve been exposed to COVID-19?

OR

Have you traveled to any of these locations in the last 14 days?

  • China
  • Iran
  • South Korea
  • Italy
  • Japan
YES Do you currently have a fever of 100℉ or higher, and a cough or difficulty breathing?
YES

Do any of the following describe you:

  • Over 60 years old
  • Posses serious chronic medical condition:
    • Heart Disease
    • Diabetes
    • Lung Disease

 

YES CDC Recommends: You are at a higher risk of getting very sick from COVID-19. Call your healthcare provider, or a local healthcare provider EARLY!
NO CDC Recommends: Call your healthcare provider, or a local healthcare provider!
NO CDC and Reid Health Recommend: Call your healthcare provider, or your State Department of Health.
NO Do you currently have a fever of 100℉ or higher, and a cough or difficulty breathing?
YES

Do any of the following describe you:

  • Over 60 years old
  • Posses serious chronic medical condition:
    • Heart Disease
    • Diabetes
    • Lung Disease

 

YES CDC Recommends: You are at a higher risk of getting very sick from COVID-19. Call your healthcare provider, or a local healthcare provider EARLY!
NO CDC Recommends: Consult your healthcare provider, or a local healthcare provider!
NO Do you have any other symptoms that are severe or concerning?
YES CDC Recommends: Consult your medical provider.
NO CDC Recommends: [Continue to monitor your personal status and maintain steps to avoid COVID-19.](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prepare/index.html)

Steps if You Feel Sick

The CDC provides the following recommendations for individuals who feel sick:

  • Help yourself get healthy
    • Monitor your symptoms - if they worsen, call your doctor immediately
    • Get rest and stay hydrated
    • For medical emergencies call 911 and notify them you have COVID-19
  • Help your community stay healthy
    • Stay home, except to get medical care
    • Call ahead before visiting your doctor
    • Wear a face-mask if you get sick
  • Help others in your home stay healthy
    • Avoid sharing personal household items
    • Separate yourself from other people in your home
    • Clean your hands often
    • Cover your coughs and sneezes
    • Clean all high-touch surfaces everyday

Recommendations to Avoid Getting Sick

Do the Five

Google recommends you “do the five”:

  • Hands - Wash them often
  • Elbow - Cough into it
  • Face - Don’t touch it
  • Feet - Stay more than 3 feet apart
  • Feel - If you feel sick, stay home

Don’t Feel Helpless

University of Michigan recommends 10 things to avoid feeling helpless:

  • Give blood if you can - the Red Cross says there’s a severe shortage right now
  • Give money or food to food banks
  • Help people who shouldn’t leave home
  • Help setup technology for those who can’t leave home
  • Help young children in need
  • Strengthen the “health safety net” for low income and uninsured people
  • Share information responsibly, and support those who create good information
  • Connect with nature
  • Use art, music and exercise to distract yourself and relieve stress
  • Help yourself and others practice patience, kindness and understanding

Stay Active

The Pensacola News Journal made the following four recommendations for exercise and outdoor activities that maintain social distance:

  • Cycling and jogging - walking too!
  • Fishing
  • Periodic body-weight calisthenics at home, no gear required - everyone can do something
  • YouTube workouts - many are available to do at home

Additional Information

Government / Gov-Affiliated Sources

CDC Coronavirus Website

Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center and Dashboard

WHO’s Situation Report Visualization

Our World in Data - COVID-19 Situation Reports - The full set of situation reports parsed as CSV

COVID-19 Infection Data - More graphable data, sourced from “Our World in Data”

COVID-19 Projects - Projects, related to COVID-19, that are looking for volunteers

State Virus Data Tracking Project

Coronavirus Deaths by U.S. State and Country Over Time: Daily Tracking

Humor

How Much Toilet Paper

XKCD’s Coronavirus Run - Several coronavirus & science-related comic strips

wt.Social News Feed

Questions

Why should I care about this virus?

Isn’t the flu also deadly? Doesn’t this only affect old people? Isn’t this just going to fade out with the season? Aren’t we close to a vaccine?

The flu is deadly! The CDC estimates that “so far this season there have been 36 million flu illnesses, 370,000 hospitalizations and 22,000 deaths from flu.”

The flu strikes annually, mutating regularly. Flu is extremely widespread already. Immunity to one strain lasts about 6 months, then fades.

Right now COVID-19 does not recur annually. If we can stem the infections from COVID-19 now then we have a shot at eradicating it, and we won’t have to face it annually like with the flu.

Scientists aren’t currently sure about how long immunity to COVID-19 lasts after having the illness. If it’s like other coronaviruses it may only last 6 months.

They’re also not sure if it will come back next season, however eradicating it now provides the best chance that it will not.

Scientists expect that, even if current vaccine trials succeed, it will take a year to see widespread availability.

COVID-19 is especially dangerous to individuals with weakened immune systems, but many of us love and care for individuals with weakened immune systems. We want to see them come out of this healthy. It will take a community doing its part to accomplish that.

What’s this “flattening the curve” thing?

The curve near the top of the page shows the number of infected individuals since the beginning of the outbreak in the US. Many of these individuals will require hospitalization.

You can see the curve grows by about 25% each day - imagine if a chunk of those people in a small area showed up at area hospitals… There would not be enough beds, ventilators, medical personnel, or supplies to handle everybody. In China we saw rapid construction of new hospitals to handle the surge.

If we can slow down the rate of growth in numbers of infection we may have fewer infections overall, but more importantly we’ll give the medical system more time to deal with the cases we see. The individuals who are hospitalized will likely have better outcomes.

Why create this page?

This page makes infection history data easily available, and compares it to a known, visible standard (Italy).

Many of us find ourselves making the same arguments over and over, and this page consolidates some of the info.

President Trump wanted someone to make a webpage. Google didn’t take up the call, so this can fit part of the bill. The CDC puts out a ton of good info and most information here comes from that ready source.

Are you on Twitter? We’re @donald_virus.